Review and Prospect of non wood pulp market in the

2022-10-19
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Non wood pulp Market Review and later outlook in the first half of the year

release date: Source: zhuochuang paper (gengsai) number of Views: 5801 copyright and disclaimer

core tip: in July, the non wood pulp and downstream household paper market continued the off-season atmosphere, and the oversupply of pulp market is difficult to alleviate. In August, as the traditional peak season approaches, it is expected that the pulp market will gradually become active, the pulp price will fluctuate upward, and September will enter the peak season, Paper mill shipments increased, paper prices rose, supporting non wood pulp prices, which are expected to stabilize after rising

in the first half of 2019, non wood pulp market prices rose first and then fell. In January, affected by the paper mill's enthusiasm to prepare goods before the festival, bamboo pulp mills raised their offer by 200 yuan/ton, and sugarcane pulp manufacturers in Guangxi made up for the decline in pulp prices. After the Spring Festival, pulp mills raised their offer one after another, mainly due to the expectation of reserve goods for paper enterprises before the downstream experiment. In March, the demand of pulp market did not increase significantly, and pulp mills remained on the sidelines. Since April, bamboo pulp has been the first to enter the downward channel. The paper mill has adopted the strategy of mining with use. At the end of the month, sugarcane pulp manufacturers have followed suit to lower the offer. Reed pulp manufacturers have maintained annual maintenance for a month, and pulp prices have remained stable. In June, the price of imported wood pulp continued to decline, impacting the trading space of the non wood pulp market. The price of non wood pulp fell by yuan/ton, the downstream demand continued to be depressed, and the non wood pulp manufacturers were under great pressure to destock

the highest prices of all pulp types appear in the stock period of the paper mill after the Spring Festival metal material experimental machine, and the lowest prices appear in the end of June. In terms of pulp varieties, the average price of bamboo pulp board is 5219 yuan/ton, the highest price in the first half of the year is 5600 yuan/ton, and the lowest price is 4150 yuan/ton; The average price of bleached sugarcane pulp wet pulp is 4574 yuan/ton, the highest price in the first half of the year is 4700 yuan/ton, and the lowest price is 4200 yuan/ton; The average price of bleached reed pulp board is 4799 yuan/ton, with the highest price of 5100 yuan/ton and the lowest price of 4200 yuan/ton in the first half of the year

non wood pulp market outlook in the third quarter

supply: in the third quarter, some bamboo pulp manufacturers plan to shut down for maintenance for a period of days, which will affect the output and need to shut down the grouting plant for a specific time; In July, the pulp market is still in the off-season, and destocking is still the main task of non wood pulp manufacturers. It is expected that non wood pulp manufacturers will still reduce production. Due to the expected impact of the peak season, the operating load of pulp mills may rise in August

demand: it is expected that the non wood pulp market demand will recover in the third quarter, mainly because September is the traditional peak season of the downstream household paper market, and it is expected that the enthusiasm of paper mills to stock up will increase from the middle and late August

wood pulp: as of the end of the second quarter, the main inventory of domestic imported wood pulp was still on the high side, but the news of foreign pulp mills' suspension and production reduction increased, and the supply decreased in the later period. In addition, the traders' intention to continue to reduce the pulp price was not strong, and it was expected that the price of imported wood pulp would be adjusted at a low level

mentality: the spot price of non wood pulp is close to the cost line of the pulp mill. Under the pressure of cost, the pulp mill has a strong wait-and-see mentality. Once the downstream demand improves, the pulp mill's rising mood needs to be released urgently

according to zhuochuang's analysis, the third quarter is in the transition period of light and peak seasons in the pulp and paper market. In July, the non wood pulp and downstream household paper market continued the off-season atmosphere, and the oversupply of pulp market is difficult to alleviate. In August, a regional office sent professional after-sales service personnel to the user site within 24 hours. With the traditional peak season approaching, it is expected that the pulp market trading will become increasingly active, the pulp price will fluctuate upward, and in September, the peak season will enter, and the paper factory shipments will increase, Paper prices rose, supporting non wood pulp prices, which are expected to stabilize after rising. It is suggested that the industry should pay attention to the use of tensile testing machines, which can be divided into many kinds of imported wood pulp market, the inventory change of major ports and the destocking of downstream paper mills

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